| Time | Matchup | Prediction | Actual | Result |
|---|
| 9/17/2022 3:30 PM |  Troy @ Appalachian State 
by 12.5 | Troy wins 31.0-21.1 won 72.21% of sims, average margin of 10.0
| Appalachian State wins 32-28
|   |
| 9/24/2022 7 PM |  Marshall @ Troy
by 3.5 | Troy wins 30.7-7.4 won 92.03% of sims, average margin of 23.3
| Troy wins 16-7
|  |
| 10/1/2022 7 PM | Troy @ Western Kentucky 
by 5 | Western Kentucky wins 31.8-21.9 won 72.55% of sims, average margin of 9.9
| Troy wins 34-27
| |
| 10/8/2022 7 PM |  Southern Miss @ Troy
by 6.5 | Troy wins 29.4-18.9 won 76.52% of sims, average margin of 10.5
| Troy wins 27-10
|  |
| 10/15/2022 3:30 PM |  Texas State @ Troy
by 16.5 | Troy wins 37.1-14.7 won 92.18% of sims, average margin of 22.5
| Troy wins 17-14
| |
| 10/20/2022 7:30 PM | Troy @ South Alabama 
by 3 | South Alabama wins 25.7-23.4 won 56.06% of sims, average margin of 2.2
| Troy wins 10-6
| |
| 11/5/2022 5 PM | Troy @ UL Lafayette 
by 4 | Troy wins 23.3-17.9 won 65.37% of sims, average margin of 5.4
| Troy wins 23-17
| |
| 11/12/2022 3:30 PM |  Army @ Troy
by 9 | Troy wins 34.5-16.7 won 83.60% of sims, average margin of 17.7
| Troy wins 10-9
| |
| 11/19/2022 3:30 PM |  ULM @ Troy
by 15.5 | Troy wins 28.6-16.7 won 78.95% of sims, average margin of 11.9
| Troy wins 34-16
| |
| 11/26/2022 3:30 PM | Troy @ Arkansas State 
by 13.5 | Troy wins 24.0-18.5 won 65.04% of sims, average margin of 5.5
| Troy wins 48-19
| |
| 12/3/2022 3:30 PM |  Coastal Carolina @ Troy
by 10 | Troy wins 35.9-13.4 won 90.37% of sims, average margin of 22.5
| Troy wins 45-26
| |
| 12/16/2022 3 PM |  TX-San Antonio @ Troy
by 1.5 | TX-San Antonio wins 30.7-24.0 won 67.50% of sims, average margin of 6.7
| Troy wins 18-12
| |
