| Time | Matchup | Prediction | Actual | Result |
|---|
| 9/18/2021 4 PM |  Colorado State @ Toledo 
by 14.5 | Toledo wins 27.1-21.6 won 65.00% of sims, average margin of 5.6
| Colorado State wins 22-6
|   |
| 9/25/2021 2 PM | Toledo @ Ball State 
by 5 | Toledo wins 27.6-14.3 won 79.65% of sims, average margin of 13.3
| Toledo wins 22-12
|   |
| 10/2/2021 12 PM | Toledo @ Massachusetts 
by 26.5 | Toledo wins 27.5-17.8 won 73.45% of sims, average margin of 9.7
| Toledo wins 45-7
| |
| 10/9/2021 12 PM |  Northern Illinois @ Toledo
by 12.5 | Toledo wins 27.9-18.3 won 74.80% of sims, average margin of 9.6
| Northern Illinois wins 22-20
| |
| 10/16/2021 3:30 PM | Toledo @ Central Michigan 
by 4.5 | Toledo wins 29.5-14.2 won 82.55% of sims, average margin of 15.3
| Central Michigan wins 26-23
| |
| 10/23/2021 3:30 PM |  Western Michigan @ Toledo
by 2.5 | Toledo wins 25.0-21.7 won 55.79% of sims, average margin of 3.2
| Toledo wins 34-15
| |
| 11/2/2021 6:30 PM |  Eastern Michigan @ Toledo
by 9 | Toledo wins 23.6-20.4 won 60.89% of sims, average margin of 3.1
| Eastern Michigan wins 52-49
| |
| 11/10/2021 7 PM | Toledo @ Bowling Green 
by 10.5 | Toledo wins 22.4-18.9 won 57.99% of sims, average margin of 3.5
| Toledo wins 49-17
| |
| 11/16/2021 7 PM | Toledo @ Ohio 
by 7.5 | Toledo wins 31.6-19.1 won 77.19% of sims, average margin of 12.5
| Toledo wins 35-23
| |
| 11/27/2021 12 PM |  Akron @ Toledo
by 28 | Toledo wins 34.7-17.3 won 84.68% of sims, average margin of 17.4
| Toledo wins 49-14
| |
| 12/17/2021 12 PM |  Middle Tennessee @ Toledo
by 10.5 | Toledo wins 32.1-12.9 won 89.11% of sims, average margin of 19.2
| Middle Tennessee wins 31-24
| |
