| Time | Matchup | Prediction | Actual | Result |
|---|
| 9/17/2022 7 PM |  Toledo @ Ohio State 
by 32 | Ohio State wins 28.0-13.3 won 85.18% of sims, average margin of 14.7
| Ohio State wins 77-21
|  |
| 9/24/2022 3:30 PM | Toledo @ San Diego State 
by 1.5 | Toledo wins 26.4-13.2 won 80.93% of sims, average margin of 13.3
| San Diego State wins 17-14
|  |
| 10/1/2022 3:30 PM |  Central Michigan @ Toledo
by 6.5 | Central Michigan wins 26.5-18.5 won 68.43% of sims, average margin of 8.0
| Toledo wins 38-17
| |
| 10/8/2022 3:30 PM | Toledo @ Northern Illinois 
by 5.5 | Toledo wins 21.4-21.4 won 47.92% of sims, average margin of 0.0
| Toledo wins 52-32
| |
| 10/15/2022 3:30 PM |  Kent State @ Toledo
by 7.5 | Kent State wins 25.3-23.9 won 55.42% of sims, average margin of 1.4
| Toledo wins 52-31
| |
| 10/22/2022 1 PM | Toledo @ Buffalo 
by 7.5 | Toledo wins 28.9-22.5 won 62.24% of sims, average margin of 6.4
| Buffalo wins 34-27
|  |
| 10/29/2022 12 PM | Toledo @ Eastern Michigan 
by 7 | Toledo wins 23.9-20.3 won 58.48% of sims, average margin of 3.6
| Toledo wins 27-24
|  |
| 11/8/2022 8 PM |  Ball State @ Toledo
by 11.5 | Toledo wins 24.2-17.3 won 68.64% of sims, average margin of 6.9
| Toledo wins 28-21
| |
| 11/15/2022 7 PM |  Bowling Green @ Toledo
by 15.5 | Toledo wins 32.2-12.3 won 88.57% of sims, average margin of 19.9
| Bowling Green wins 42-35
| |
| 11/25/2022 12 PM | Toledo @ Western Michigan 
by 7.5 | Toledo wins 22.6-16.1 won 65.50% of sims, average margin of 6.4
| Western Michigan wins 20-14
| |
| 12/3/2022 12 PM | Toledo @ Ohio 
by 2.5 | Toledo wins 31.6-18.6 won 76.38% of sims, average margin of 13.0
| Toledo wins 17-7
| |
| 12/20/2022 7:30 PM |  Liberty @ Toledo
by 1.5 | Toledo wins 29.8-13.6 won 85.95% of sims, average margin of 16.1
| Toledo wins 21-19
| |
