| Time | Matchup | Prediction | Actual | Result |
|---|
| 9/17/2022 12 PM |  Texas State @ Baylor 
by 30 | Texas State wins 14.6-13.0 won 55.47% of sims, average margin of 1.6
| Baylor wins 42-7
|  |
| 9/24/2022 7 PM |  Houston Baptist @ Texas State
| Texas State wins 26.6-8.1 won 91.50% of sims, average margin of 18.5
| Texas State wins 34-0
|  |
| 10/1/2022 1:30 PM | Texas State @ James Madison 
by 21.5 | Texas State wins 18.9-18.2 won 50.76% of sims, average margin of 0.7
| James Madison wins 40-13
| |
| 10/8/2022 7 PM |  Appalachian State @ Texas State
by 19 | Appalachian State wins 26.0-18.1 won 70.03% of sims, average margin of 7.8
| Texas State wins 36-24
|  |
| 10/15/2022 3:30 PM | Texas State @ Troy 
by 16.5 | Troy wins 37.1-14.7 won 92.18% of sims, average margin of 22.5
| Troy wins 17-14
| |
| 10/22/2022 5 PM |  Southern Miss @ Texas State
by 2.5 | Southern Miss wins 20.5-19.8 won 53.37% of sims, average margin of 0.8
| Southern Miss wins 20-14
|  |
| 11/5/2022 5 PM | Texas State @ ULM 
by 1 | ULM wins 28.4-18.6 won 72.09% of sims, average margin of 9.8
| ULM wins 31-30
| |
| 11/12/2022 5 PM | Texas State @ South Alabama 
by 16.5 | South Alabama wins 33.0-13.1 won 92.37% of sims, average margin of 20.0
| South Alabama wins 38-21
| |
| 11/19/2022 5 PM |  Arkansas State @ Texas State
by 5 | Arkansas State wins 22.9-17.1 won 63.61% of sims, average margin of 5.8
| Texas State wins 16-13
| |
| 11/26/2022 5 PM |  UL Lafayette @ Texas State
by 5 | UL Lafayette wins 21.8-14.7 won 70.44% of sims, average margin of 7.1
| UL Lafayette wins 41-13
| |
