| Time | Matchup | Prediction | Actual | Result |
|---|
| 9/24/2022 7 PM |  Tarleton State @ North Alabama 
| North Alabama wins 20.2-17.2 won 57.50% of sims, average margin of 2.9
| Tarleton State wins 43-28
|  |
| 10/1/2022 4 PM | Tarleton State @ Lamar 
by 1.5 | Tarleton State wins 27.3-18.9 won 72.22% of sims, average margin of 8.4
| Tarleton State wins 37-34
|    |
| 10/8/2022 8 PM | Tarleton State @ Southern Utah 
| Southern Utah wins 22.8-22.6 won 51.61% of sims, average margin of 0.2
| Tarleton State wins 42-40
| |
| 10/15/2022 7 PM | Tarleton State @ SFA 
| Tarleton State wins 24.6-24.2 won 51.24% of sims, average margin of 0.4
| SFA wins 41-24
| |
| 10/22/2022 9 PM |  Sam Houston State @ Tarleton State
| Tarleton State wins 26.3-15.6 won 76.45% of sims, average margin of 10.7
| Sam Houston State wins 18-13
| |
| 10/29/2022 8 PM | Sam Houston State @ Tarleton State
| Tarleton State wins 27.3-12.6 won 83.06% of sims, average margin of 14.7
| Sam Houston State wins 40-21
| |
| 11/5/2022 8 PM |  Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State
| Tarleton State wins 26.0-20.5 won 62.15% of sims, average margin of 5.5
| Abilene Christian wins 28-23
| |
| 11/12/2022 1 PM | Abilene Christian @ Tarleton State
| Tarleton State wins 24.2-22.4 won 53.61% of sims, average margin of 1.8
| Abilene Christian wins 45-28
| |
| 11/12/2022 3 PM | Tarleton State @ Dixie State 
| Dixie State wins 33.7-22.8 won 71.94% of sims, average margin of 10.9
| Dixie State wins 34-28
| |
| 11/19/2022 3 PM |  Houston Baptist @ Tarleton State
| Tarleton State wins 25.8-14.5 won 75.00% of sims, average margin of 11.3
| Tarleton State wins 49-7
| |
