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As the WNBA season heats up, July 29, 2026, brings us two electrifying matchups that could shake up the standings. First, we have the Atlanta Dream taking on the Dallas Wings, followed by a clash between the Golden State Valkyries and Phoenix Mercury. Both games have a lot riding on them, promising intensity and fireworks on the court.
The Atlanta Dream (16-10) visit the Dallas Wings (18-9) in a must-watch battle of the top-tier teams. Our simulations show a slight edge for the Wings with a predicted score of 87.7 to 83.5, and a 55% win probability. The Wings have been flying high this season, showcasing a well-rounded roster led by the sensational Paige Bueckers, who is projected to score 18.5 points with 5 rebounds and 5.9 assists.
For the Dream, Allisha Gray and Angel Reese are the ones to watch. Gray is expected to contribute 18.2 points, while Reese could dominate the boards with a projected 16.6 rebounds. This dynamic duo will need to bring their A-game to overcome the Wings’ home-court advantage.
Dallas's Azzi Fudd and Jessica Shepard add depth, with Shepard expected to grab 12.8 rebounds and dish out 5.3 assists. The battle under the rim between Reese and Shepard could be pivotal in deciding the outcome. With the Vegas spread set at -1.0 and an over/under at 180.5, expect a high-scoring, closely contested affair.
Meanwhile, the Golden State Valkyries (19-8) face off against the Phoenix Mercury (10-18) in what could be a surprising upset. Despite their uneven season, the Mercury are predicted to edge out the Valkyries with a tight scoreline of 81.5 to 79.7, according to our simulations. Kahleah Copper is set to lead Phoenix with 17.4 points, while Alyssa Thomas is expected to fill the stat sheet with 15 points, 9.1 rebounds, and a hefty 8.2 assists.
Golden State isn't going down without a fight, however. Gabby Williams is projected to score 15.7 points, and Veronica Burton is likely to distribute the ball effectively, chipping in with 5.9 assists. The Valkyries, known for their resilience, will need to harness their depth to counter Phoenix’s home momentum.
With a Vegas spread of 5.0 and an over/under of 155.5, this matchup promises to be a nail-biter. The Mercury's slight edge in simulation predictions highlights the unpredictable nature of sports, where any team can triumph.
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